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 Post subject: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sun Nov 05, 2017 1:01 am 
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See BeaverBeliever's poll
40 bowl games-1 championship game=78 teams needed

American
Eligible: 5(5) Central Florida, South Florida, Memphis, Houston, Southern Methodist
Possible: 9(9)Temple(2), Cincinnati or Connecticut(3), Navy(1), Tulane(3)
Projected: 6(6) Navy

ACC
Eligible: 5(10) Clemson, North Carolina State, Miami Florida, Virginia Tech, Virginia
Possible: 13(22) Boston College(1), Florida State(3), Syracuse(2), Wake Forest(1), Louisville(1), Georgia Tech(2), Pittsburgh(2), Duke(2)
Projected: 8(14) Boston College, Wake Forest, Louisville

Big 12
Eligible: 5(15) Oklahoma, Texas Christian, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Iowa State
Possible: 8(30) Texas(2), Kansas State(1), Texas Tech(2)
Projected: 7(21) Texas, Kansas State

Big 10
Eligible: 7(22) Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Iowa
Possible: 13(43)Rutgers(2), Maryland(2), Indiana(3), Nebraska(2) Purdue(2), Minnesota(2)
Projected: 7(28)

Conference USA
Eligible: 5(27) Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Marshall, North Texas, Alabama Birmingham
Possible: 11(54) Western Kentucky(1), Middle Tennessee(2), Old Dominion(3), Southern Mississippi(1), Texas San Antonio(1), Louisiana Tech(2)
Projected: 10(38) Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee, Southern Mississippi, Texas San Antonio, Louisiana Tech

Independents
Eligible: 2(29) Notre Dame, Army
Possible: 2(56)
Projected: 2(40)

MAC
Eligible: 3(32) Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois
Possible: 8(64) Akron(1), Miami Ohio or Eastern Michigan(3), Buffalo(3), Central Michigan(1), Western Michigan(1)
Projected: 6(46) Akron, Central Michigan, Western Michigan

Mountain West
Eligible: 5(37) Boise State, Wyoming, Colorado State, Fresno State, San Diego State
Possible: 10(74) Air Force(2), Utah State(1), New Mexico(3), UNLV(2), Hawaii(3)
Projected: 7(53) Utah State, UNLV

PAC-12
Eligible: 5(42) Washington, Washington State, Stanford, Southern California, Arizona
Possible: 11(85) Oregon(1), California(1), Arizona State(1), Utah(1), UCLA(2), Colorado(1)
Projected: 8(61) Oregon, Arizona State, Utah

SEC
Eligible: 7(49) Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, Louisiana State
Possible: 11(96)* Florida(3), Missouri(2), Tennessee(2), Vanderbilt(2), Texas A&M(1), Arkansas(2)
Projected: 8(69) Texas A&M
*No one's eliminated, but based on an insane number of head to head games between those teams, I believe 11 is the maximum

Sun Belt
Eligible: 1(50) Troy
Possible: 9(105) Arkansas State(1), Georgia State(1), Appalachian State(1), Louisiana(2), Louisiana Monroe(2), Idaho(3), New Mexico State(2), South Alabama(3)
Projected: 6(75) Arkansas State, Georgia State, Appalachian State, Louisiana, New Mexico State(I hope anyway)

Going to be close. I am sure that a couple more SEC teams will get eligible than I project, I just have no clue whatsoever which it will be so I didn't project any specifically. An upset or two in the Big 10 will get another team also, so odds are 78 is going to just barely happen.


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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sun Nov 05, 2017 2:03 am 
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See CFBrocks's poll
Isn't Ole Miss on a self-imposed bowl ban?

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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Mon Nov 06, 2017 5:03 am 
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See PollMastaJ's poll
oh - I was about to say, they weren't listed but could still become eligible, so maybe that's why he didn't include them.

Thanks for tracking these again - nice to see it organized like this.

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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sun Nov 12, 2017 2:39 am 
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Favorite Team: Oregon State
See BeaverBeliever's poll
Race for 78

American
Eligible: 6(6) Central Florida, South Florida, Memphis, Houston, Southern Methodist, Navy
Possible: 8(8) Temple(1), Tulane(2)
Projected: 7(7) Temple

Navy gained eligibility as expected. Cincinnati and Connecticut both eliminated as projected. Hesitantly going to move Temple in right now and say they win @ Tulsa after a likely loss to Central Florida.

ACC
Eligible: 7(13) Clemson, North Carolina State, Miami Florida, Virginia Tech, Virginia, Wake Forest, Louisville
Possible: 13(21) Boston College(1), Florida State(3) Syracuse(2), Georgia Tech(1), Pittsburgh(2), Duke(2)
Projected: 10(17) Boston College, Georgia Tech, Florida State

Wake Forest and Louisville gained eligibility as expected. Hesitantly going to favor Florida State to take care of Florida and since they now added Louisiana Monroe in December, they have a shot to get to 6. With Georgia Tech's upset of Virginia Tech, I project them in with a win @ Duke next week. They can also potentially try and find an opponent to play in December if they want.

Big 12
Eligible: 5(18) Oklahoma, Texas Christian, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Iowa State
Possible: 8(29) Texas(1), Kansas State(1), Texas Tech(1)
Projected: 7(24) Texas, Kansas State

I'm a little less confident in Kansas State now, but they finish at home against Iowa State and I will leave them in for now, so no changes here.

Big 10
Eligible: 7(25) Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Iowa
Possible: 13(42)Rutgers(2), Maryland(2), Indiana(2), Nebraska(2), Purdue(2), Minnesota(1)
Projected: 7(31)

No changes here, almost feeling confident in Minnesota, but not quite.

Conference USA
Eligible: 6(31) Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Marshall, North Texas, Alabama Birmingham, Southern Mississippi
Possible: 11(53) Western Kentucky(1), Middle Tennessee(1), Old Dominion(2), Texas San Antonio(1), Louisiana Tech(2)
Projected: 9(40) Western Kentucky, Middle Tennessee, Louisiana Tech

Southern Mississippi gained eligibility as expected. Due to UTSA's home loss to UAB, I now project them out. They had a game against Houston cancelled, so they can perhaps attempt to find a game too.

Independents
Eligible: 2(33) Notre Dame, Army
Possible: 2(55)
Projected: 2(42)

No changes possible.

MAC
Eligible: 5(38) Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Central Michigan
Possible: 8(63) Akron(1), Miami Ohio(2), Buffalo(2)
Projected: 7(49) Akron, Miami Ohio

Western Michigan and Central Michigan gained eligibility as expected. Eastern Michigan eliminated as expected. Hesitantly moving Miami Ohio in now.

Mountain West
Eligible: 5(43) Boise State, Wyoming, Colorado State, Fresno State, San Diego State
Possible: 8(71) Air Force(2), Utah State(1), UNLV(2)
Projected: 6(55) Utah State

Hawaii and New Mexico eliminated as projected. Due to UNLV's home loss to BYU, I am now projecting them out.

PAC-12
Eligible: 5(48) Washington, Washington State, Stanford, Southern California, Arizona
Possible: 11(82) Oregon(1), California(1), Arizona State(1), Utah(1), UCLA(1), Colorado(1)
Projected: 9(64) Oregon, Arizona State, Utah, UCLA

With UCLA's win over Arizona State, they are now projected in.

SEC
Eligible: 8(56) Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, Louisiana State, Texas A&M
Possible: 11(93) 2 of Missouri(1), Tennessee and Vanderbilt(2), Arkansas(2)
Projected: 8(72)

Texas A&M gained eligibility as expected. Florida is eliminated barring an additional game being added to the schedule. Feeling some mild confidence in Missouri's chances, but won't go far as to change them to in yet. Vanderbilt I have some slight hope for too.

Sun Belt
Eligible: 3(59) Troy, Georgia State, Appalachian State
Possible: 9(102) Arkansas State(1), Louisiana(2), Louisiana Monroe(2), Idaho(3), New Mexico State(2), South Alabama(3)
Projected: 5(77) Arkansas State, Louisiana or New Mexico State

Few people only got eliminated this week, projecting 1 short now, but we're very very close.


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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Mon Nov 13, 2017 12:34 am 
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See PollMastaJ's poll
Would be pretty cool if we got exactly 78. 79 would be awkward haha.

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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sat Nov 18, 2017 11:25 pm 
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Favorite Team: Oregon State
See BeaverBeliever's poll
American
Eligible: 6(6) Central Florida, South Florida, Memphis, Houston, Southern Methodist, Navy
Possible: 8(8) Temple(1), Tulane(1)
Projected: 7(7) Temple

Tulane stays alive by upsetting Houston, but no changes here.

ACC
Eligible: 8(14) Clemson, North Carolina State, Miami Florida, Virginia Tech, Virginia, Wake Forest, Louisville, Boston College
Possible: 11(19) Florida State(2) Georgia Tech(1), Duke(1)
Projected: 9(16) Florida State

Boston College gained eligibility as expected. Syracuse and Pittsburgh eliminated as projected. It's unlikely, but Georgia Tech can try to add a game in December to give them a 6th win but until they do, I project them out. Duke and Florida State stay alive but no margin for error.

Big 12
Eligible: 7(21) Oklahoma, Texas Christian, Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas, Kansas State
Possible: 8(27) Texas Tech(1)
Projected: 7(23)

Texas and Kansas State gained eligibility as projected.

Big 10
Eligible: 7(28) Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Iowa
Possible: 9(36) Indiana or Purdue(1), Minnesota(1)
Projected: 8(31) Purdue

Rutgers, Maryland and Nebraska eliminated as projected. With Purdue upsetting Iowa, the Old Oaken Bucket winner is now in, loser is out.

Conference USA
Eligible: 8(36) Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Marshall, North Texas, Alabama Birmingham, Southern Mississippi, Western Kentucky, Texas San Antonio
Possible: 10(46) Middle Tennessee or Old Dominion(1), Louisiana Tech(1)
Projected: 10(41) Middle Tennessee, Louisiana Tech

Western Kentucky gained eligibility as projected. Texas San Antonio gained eligibility by upsetting Marshall. Middle Tennessee vs. Old Dominion is for a bowl, loser is out.

Independents
Eligible: 2(38) Notre Dame, Army
Possible: 2(48)
Projected: 2(43)

No changes possible.

MAC
Eligible: 6(44) Ohio, Toledo, Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Central Michigan, Akron
Possible: 7(55) Buffalo(1)
Projected: 6(49)

Akron gained eligibility as projected. Miami Ohio went from projected in to eliminated by losing to Eastern Michigan.

Mountain West
Eligible: 6(50) Boise State, Wyoming, Colorado State, Fresno State, San Diego State, Utah State
Possible: 7(62) UNLV(1)
Projected: 7(56) UNLV

Utah State gained eligibility as projected. UNLV is now projected back in after winning @ New Mexico. Air Force was eliminated as projected.

PAC-12
Eligible: 7(57) Washington, Washington State, Stanford, Southern California, Arizona, Oregon, Arizona State
Possible: 9(71) California(1), Utah(1), UCLA(1), Colorado(1)
Projected: 9(65) Utah, UCLA

Oregon and Arizona State gained eligibility as projected. Both Utah-Colorado and UCLA-Cal are winner is in, loser is out scenarios.

SEC
Eligible: 9(66) Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, Louisiana State, Texas A&M, Missouri
Possible: 9(80)
Projected: 9(74)

Missouri gained eligibility. Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Arkansas were all eliminated as projected.

Sun Belt
Eligible: 4(70) Troy, Georgia State, Appalachian State, Arkansas State
Possible: 7(87) Louisiana(1), Louisiana Monroe(2), New Mexico State(2)
Projected: 6(80) Louisiana, New Mexico State

Arkansas State gained eligibility as projected. Idaho and South Alabama were eliminated as projected.

Now projecting 80. Only the Sun Belt and Florida State, if they win, will be in doubt after next week. New Mexico State would likely be one left out in this scenario as they announced today that they would likely decline a bowl game that is too far away.


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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sun Nov 19, 2017 3:07 pm 
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See PollMastaJ's poll
And a minimum of 76 eligible. Wonder why Florida didn't bother to schedule a Dec 2 game.

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 Post subject: Re: Race to fill the bowls-2017 Edition
PostPosted: Sun Nov 19, 2017 4:08 pm 
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PollMastaJ wrote:
And a minimum of 76 eligible. Wonder why Florida didn't bother to schedule a Dec 2 game.


Memphis, Miami and the South Florida-Central Florida winner can't reschedule because of the conference championship game, but Florida, Georgia Tech, the Central Florida-South Florida loser, Texas San Antonio, Houston and Florida International can all schedule a game. Seems unlikely any of them will do it now though. And there are always the Mountain West teams who opted not to schedule a 13th, which would be Colorado State or San Diego State.


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